News about the cancelation of the Chinese Grand Prix has been sweeping through the automotive press, the race scheduled for April 19th has been postponed indefinitely. Formula 1 and FIA have not announced when or if there will be a makeup date for the race. With the infection spreading across China and neighboring countries the repercussions to the automotive industry stretch far beyond the canceling of a GP race as China is not only the largest producer of passenger cars and components but also the largest market for new cars in the world.
With China manufacturing, nearly 25 million cars annually and supplying parts and finished vehicles for markets around the world, the shut down due to the Coronavirus is having a ripple effect across the automotive industry. Toyota, Kia, and Hyundai are keeping factories in China closed much of the month of February and manufacturers like Honda with factories in the Hubei province, where the virus originated, are closed until the pandemic passes. According to S&P Global Ratings, the Coronavirus outbreak could cause automotive production to drop by as much as 15% for the first quarter of 2020.
According to automotive expert Lauren Fix, one of the biggest issues is the ripple effect in the supply chain for companies like Ford Motor Company, General Motors, and Kia. As many components for assembly factories around the world rely on Chinese factories to keep the assembly line moving. While many companies are shifting component manufacturing to suppliers to other countries like India, the downtime may put additional strain on already struggling brands.
These impacts are so dramatic that you’re gonna see, maybe not today, but let’s say they started production back up on the 14th-17th (of February) like a lot of manufacturers are hoping for, you’re still going to see a pipeline problem. That it’s going to take time to get everything back up and running. Typically you are looking at a three-month variance, so three months down the road we might see a shortage of components for cars being assembled.